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Prediction Log

预测更新日志

每个版本都是一次模型快照：美东时间每天 00:00 自动生成；比赛开打后，已确认赛果会进入下一版模拟。如果官方同步暂时抽风，管理员手动录入赛果后也会生成同等可信的实际结果更新。

回到看板全队概率榜模型说明
157
预测版本
55
每日更新
101
联动重算
104
当前实际赛果

最新版本

2026-07-27 00:00 ET

07/27/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

当前生效已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 1

2026-07-26 00:00 ET

07/26/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 2

2026-07-25 00:00 ET

07/25/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 3

2026-07-24 00:00 ET

07/24/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 4

2026-07-23 00:00 ET

07/23/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 5

2026-07-22 00:00 ET

07/22/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 6

2026-07-21 00:00 ET

07/21/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 7

2026-07-20 00:00 ET

07/20/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 8

07/19/2026, 06:10 PM EDT

07/19/2026, 06:10 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 104 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 104 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain100.0%
2🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
3🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+47.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 9

2026-07-19 00:00 ET

07/19/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 103 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 103 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 10

07/18/2026, 07:10 PM EDT

07/18/2026, 07:10 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 103 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 103 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 11

2026-07-18 00:00 ET

07/18/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 102 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 102 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 12

2026-07-17 00:00 ET

07/17/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 102 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 102 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 13

2026-07-16 00:00 ET

07/16/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 102 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 102 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 14

07/15/2026, 05:09 PM EDT

07/15/2026, 05:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 102 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 102 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina47.9%
3🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+23.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 15

2026-07-15 00:00 ET

07/15/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 101 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 101 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.8%
2🇦🇷 Argentina24.7%
3🏴 England22.5%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 16

07/14/2026, 05:09 PM EDT

07/14/2026, 05:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 101 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 101 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain52.8%
2🇦🇷 Argentina24.7%
3🏴 England22.5%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+23.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 17

2026-07-14 00:00 ET

07/14/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 100 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 100 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain29.3%
2🇦🇷 Argentina26.1%
3🏴 England23.6%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 18

2026-07-13 00:00 ET

07/13/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 100 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 100 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain29.3%
2🇦🇷 Argentina26.1%
3🏴 England23.6%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 19

2026-07-12 00:00 ET

07/12/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 100 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 100 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain29.3%
2🇦🇷 Argentina26.1%
3🏴 England23.6%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 20

07/11/2026, 11:48 PM EDT

07/11/2026, 11:48 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 100 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 100 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain29.3%
2🇦🇷 Argentina26.1%
3🏴 England23.6%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+5.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 21

07/11/2026, 07:48 PM EDT

07/11/2026, 07:48 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 99 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 99 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain30.3%
2🏴 England26.5%
3🇫🇷 France21.7%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+4.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 22

2026-07-11 00:00 ET

07/11/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 98 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 98 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain31.1%
2🇫🇷 France22.5%
3🏴 England22.1%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 23

07/10/2026, 05:08 PM EDT

07/10/2026, 05:08 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 98 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 98 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain31.1%
2🇫🇷 France22.5%
3🏴 England22.1%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+9.0pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 24

2026-07-10 00:00 ET

07/10/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 97 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 97 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France25.7%
2🇦🇷 Argentina23.3%
3🏴 England23.3%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 25

07/09/2026, 06:08 PM EDT

07/09/2026, 06:08 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 97 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 97 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France25.7%
2🇦🇷 Argentina23.3%
3🏴 England23.3%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+9.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 26

2026-07-09 00:00 ET

07/09/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 96 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 96 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England24.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain24.1%
3🇦🇷 Argentina23.8%
本版最大波动
🏴England
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 27

2026-07-08 00:00 ET

07/08/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 96 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 96 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England24.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain24.1%
3🇦🇷 Argentina23.8%
本版最大波动
🏴England
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 28

07/07/2026, 06:57 PM EDT

07/07/2026, 06:57 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 96 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 96 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England24.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain24.1%
3🇦🇷 Argentina23.8%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
-1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 29

07/07/2026, 02:07 PM EDT

07/07/2026, 02:07 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 95 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 95 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain24.1%
2🏴 England24.0%
3🇦🇷 Argentina23.6%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+4.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 30

2026-07-07 00:00 ET

07/07/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 94 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 94 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England25.6%
2🇪🇸 Spain24.7%
3🇦🇷 Argentina19.5%
本版最大波动
🏴England
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 31

07/06/2026, 10:07 PM EDT

07/06/2026, 10:07 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 94 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 94 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England25.6%
2🇪🇸 Spain24.7%
3🇦🇷 Argentina19.5%
本版最大波动
🇧🇪Belgium
+1.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 32

07/06/2026, 05:07 PM EDT

07/06/2026, 05:07 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 93 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 93 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain25.3%
2🏴 England25.3%
3🇦🇷 Argentina19.7%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+8.0pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 33

2026-07-06 00:00 ET

07/06/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 92 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 92 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England26.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina20.4%
3🇫🇷 France18.0%
本版最大波动
🏴England
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 34

07/05/2026, 11:07 PM EDT

07/05/2026, 11:07 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 92 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 92 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🏴 England26.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina20.4%
3🇫🇷 France18.0%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+7.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 35

07/05/2026, 06:17 PM EDT

07/05/2026, 06:17 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 91 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 91 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina22.4%
2🏴 England19.4%
3🇫🇷 France18.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+2.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 36

07/05/2026, 06:09 PM EDT

07/05/2026, 06:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 89 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 89 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🏴 England20.0%
3🇫🇷 France19.3%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
-6.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 37

2026-07-05 00:00 ET

07/05/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 88 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 88 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.2%
2🇫🇷 France19.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain18.5%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 38

07/04/2026, 07:09 PM EDT

07/04/2026, 07:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 88 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 88 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.2%
2🇫🇷 France19.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain18.5%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+2.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 39

07/04/2026, 03:09 PM EDT

07/04/2026, 03:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 87 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 87 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.5%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.1%
3🏴 England16.8%
本版最大波动
🇲🇦Morocco
+1.8pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 40

2026-07-04 00:00 ET

07/04/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 86 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 86 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.2%
3🇫🇷 France18.1%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 41

07/03/2026, 11:38 PM EDT

07/03/2026, 11:38 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 86 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 86 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.2%
3🇫🇷 France18.1%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 42

07/03/2026, 04:58 PM EDT

07/03/2026, 04:58 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 85 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 85 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.6%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.2%
3🇫🇷 France17.9%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 43

07/03/2026, 12:58 AM EDT

07/03/2026, 12:58 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 84 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 84 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.8%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.8%
3🇫🇷 France17.7%
本版最大波动
🇨🇭Switzerland
+0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 44

2026-07-03 00:00 ET

07/03/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 83 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 83 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.1%
3🇫🇷 France17.7%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 45

07/02/2026, 09:18 PM EDT

07/02/2026, 09:18 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 83 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 83 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.1%
3🇫🇷 France17.7%
本版最大波动
🇵🇹Portugal
+1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 46

07/02/2026, 04:58 PM EDT

07/02/2026, 04:58 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 82 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 82 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain19.9%
3🇫🇷 France18.0%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+3.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 47

2026-07-02 00:00 ET

07/02/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 81 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 81 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.5%
2🇫🇷 France18.5%
3🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 48

07/01/2026, 10:08 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 10:08 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 81 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 81 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.5%
2🇫🇷 France18.5%
3🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
本版最大波动
🇺🇸USA
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 49

07/01/2026, 02:09 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 02:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 80 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 80 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.5%
2🇫🇷 France18.5%
3🇪🇸 Spain16.9%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+1.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 50

07/01/2026, 01:09 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 01:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 79 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 79 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.8%
2🇫🇷 France18.6%
3🇪🇸 Spain17.5%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+3.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 51

07/01/2026, 01:06 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 01:06 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 79 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 79 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.5%
3🇫🇷 France15.0%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 52

07/01/2026, 01:05 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 01:05 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 79 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 79 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.5%
3🇫🇷 France15.0%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+1.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 53

07/01/2026, 01:02 PM EDT

07/01/2026, 01:02 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 77 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 77 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.5%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.9%
3🏴 England15.2%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
-6.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 54

2026-07-01 00:00 ET

07/01/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 76 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 76 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.3%
3🏴 England15.1%
本版最大波动
🇲🇽Mexico
+0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 55

06/30/2026, 03:02 PM EDT

06/30/2026, 03:02 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 75 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 75 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.8%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.3%
3🏴 England15.8%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 56

2026-06-30 00:00 ET

06/30/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 74 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 74 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.3%
3🏴 England15.7%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 57

06/29/2026, 03:11 PM EDT

06/29/2026, 03:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 74 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 74 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.3%
3🏴 England15.7%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
+2.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 58

2026-06-29 00:00 ET

06/29/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 73 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 73 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.4%
3🏴 England16.6%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 59

06/28/2026, 05:01 PM EDT

06/28/2026, 05:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 73 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 73 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.4%
3🏴 England16.6%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 60

2026-06-28 00:00 ET

06/28/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 72 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 72 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.5%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.3%
3🏴 England16.3%
本版最大波动
🏴England
-0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 61

06/27/2026, 09:41 PM EDT

06/27/2026, 09:41 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 70 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 70 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.4%
3🏴 England16.7%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+0.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 62

06/27/2026, 09:31 PM EDT

06/27/2026, 09:31 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 69 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 69 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.6%
3🏴 England15.8%
本版最大波动
🇵🇹Portugal
-1.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 63

06/27/2026, 07:01 PM EDT

06/27/2026, 07:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 68 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 68 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.7%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.9%
3🏴 England15.5%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+2.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 64

06/27/2026, 01:11 AM EDT

06/27/2026, 01:11 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 66 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 66 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina21.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.5%
3🏴 England13.4%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+1.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 65

06/27/2026, 01:01 AM EDT

06/27/2026, 01:01 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 65 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 65 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.5%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.0%
3🏴 England13.3%
本版最大波动
🇧🇪Belgium
+0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 66

2026-06-27 00:00 ET

06/27/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 64 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 64 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.3%
3🏴 England13.4%
本版最大波动
🇧🇪Belgium
+0.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 67

06/26/2026, 10:11 PM EDT

06/26/2026, 10:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 64 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 64 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.6%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.3%
3🏴 England13.5%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 68

06/26/2026, 10:01 PM EDT

06/26/2026, 10:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 63 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 63 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.0%
3🏴 England14.1%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+2.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 69

06/26/2026, 05:11 PM EDT

06/26/2026, 05:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 62 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 62 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain15.9%
3🏴 England14.2%
本版最大波动
🇸🇳Senegal
+0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 70

06/26/2026, 05:01 PM EDT

06/26/2026, 05:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 61 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 61 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.1%
3🏴 England14.2%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
-0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 71

06/26/2026, 12:11 AM EDT

06/26/2026, 12:11 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 60 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 60 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.7%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🏴 England13.9%
本版最大波动
🇺🇸USA
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 72

2026-06-26 00:00 ET

06/26/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 59 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 59 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.6%
3🏴 England14.1%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
+0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 73

06/25/2026, 09:04 PM EDT

06/25/2026, 09:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 58 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 58 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England14.0%
本版最大波动
🇲🇦Morocco
-0.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 74

06/25/2026, 06:04 PM EDT

06/25/2026, 06:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 56 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 56 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.6%
3🏴 England13.7%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
-0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 75

2026-06-25 00:00 ET

06/25/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 54 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 54 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 76

06/24/2026, 11:05 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 11:05 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 54 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 54 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 77

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 54 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 54 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 78

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 54 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 54 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 79

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 11:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 54 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 54 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.5%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇲🇦Morocco
+0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 80

06/24/2026, 11:03 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 11:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 53 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 53 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.6%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 81

06/24/2026, 08:04 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 08:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 52 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (40); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 52 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.7%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇲🇦Morocco
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 82

06/24/2026, 05:04 PM EDT

06/24/2026, 05:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 50 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (44); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 50 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
-0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 83

06/24/2026, 12:23 AM EDT

06/24/2026, 12:23 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 48 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 48 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 84

2026-06-24 00:00 ET

06/24/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 48 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 48 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🏴 England13.8%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
-0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 85

06/23/2026, 11:33 PM EDT

06/23/2026, 11:33 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 47 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 47 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.0%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.5%
3🇫🇷 France13.3%
本版最大波动
🇭🇷Croatia
+0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 86

06/23/2026, 03:02 PM EDT

06/23/2026, 03:02 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 45 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 45 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.7%
3🇫🇷 France13.6%
本版最大波动
🇵🇹Portugal
+1.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 87

06/23/2026, 01:01 AM EDT

06/23/2026, 01:01 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 44 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 44 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.6%
3🇫🇷 France13.1%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 88

2026-06-23 00:00 ET

06/23/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 43 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 43 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.7%
3🇫🇷 France13.0%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
+0.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 89

06/22/2026, 10:01 PM EDT

06/22/2026, 10:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 43 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 43 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.8%
3🇫🇷 France13.1%
本版最大波动
🇳🇴Norway
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 90

06/22/2026, 08:51 PM EDT

06/22/2026, 08:51 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 42 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 42 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain18.9%
3🇫🇷 France12.9%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
-3.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 91

06/22/2026, 03:11 PM EDT

06/22/2026, 03:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 41 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 41 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina23.7%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.7%
3🇫🇷 France15.3%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+4.0pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 92

2026-06-22 00:00 ET

06/22/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 40 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 40 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.7%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.3%
本版最大波动
🇲🇽Mexico
-0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 93

06/21/2026, 11:01 PM EDT

06/21/2026, 11:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 40 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 40 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.8%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.7%
3🇫🇷 France16.3%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 94

06/21/2026, 08:11 PM EDT

06/21/2026, 08:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 39 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 39 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.2%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+1.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 95

06/21/2026, 05:01 PM EDT

06/21/2026, 05:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 38 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 38 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.3%
2🇫🇷 France16.4%
3🇪🇸 Spain16.4%
本版最大波动
🇧🇪Belgium
-0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 96

06/21/2026, 02:11 PM EDT

06/21/2026, 02:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 37 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 37 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.4%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.4%
3🇫🇷 France16.2%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+2.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 97

06/21/2026, 02:01 AM EDT

06/21/2026, 02:01 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 36 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 36 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.1%
2🇫🇷 France16.9%
3🇪🇸 Spain13.9%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
+0.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 98

2026-06-21 00:00 ET

06/21/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 35 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 35 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.8%
2🇫🇷 France17.1%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.3%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
-0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 99

06/20/2026, 10:01 PM EDT

06/20/2026, 10:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 35 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 35 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.8%
2🇫🇷 France16.6%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.4%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
-1.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 100

06/20/2026, 06:01 PM EDT

06/20/2026, 06:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 34 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 34 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.7%
2🇫🇷 France16.1%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
+1.8pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 101

06/20/2026, 03:01 PM EDT

06/20/2026, 03:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 33 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 33 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina18.9%
2🇫🇷 France17.4%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.2%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
+2.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 102

06/20/2026, 01:11 AM EDT

06/20/2026, 01:11 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 32 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 32 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.2%
2🇫🇷 France18.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 103

2026-06-20 00:00 ET

06/20/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 31 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 31 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.1%
2🇫🇷 France18.4%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.1%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 104

06/19/2026, 10:41 PM EDT

06/19/2026, 10:41 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 31 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 31 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.1%
2🇫🇷 France18.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.3%
本版最大波动
🇲🇦Morocco
+3.0pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 105

06/19/2026, 05:11 PM EDT

06/19/2026, 05:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 29 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 29 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.4%
2🇫🇷 France19.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.2%
本版最大波动
🇺🇸USA
+1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 106

2026-06-19 00:00 ET

06/19/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 28 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 28 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.4%
2🇫🇷 France19.4%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 107

06/18/2026, 11:01 PM EDT

06/18/2026, 11:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 28 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 28 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.5%
2🇫🇷 France19.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🏴England
-0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 108

06/18/2026, 08:10 PM EDT

06/18/2026, 08:10 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 27 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 27 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.0%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.3%
本版最大波动
🇨🇦Canada
+0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 109

06/18/2026, 05:01 PM EDT

06/18/2026, 05:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 26 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 26 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.0%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.4%
本版最大波动
🇨🇭Switzerland
+0.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 110

06/18/2026, 02:01 PM EDT

06/18/2026, 02:01 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 25 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 25 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 111

06/18/2026, 12:10 AM EDT

06/18/2026, 12:10 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 24 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 24 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.1%
2🇦🇷 Argentina19.0%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.4%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
+1.0pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 112

2026-06-18 00:00 ET

06/18/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 23 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 23 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.1%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🇨🇴Colombia
+1.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 113

06/17/2026, 09:10 PM EDT

06/17/2026, 09:10 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 23 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 23 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.7%
2🇫🇷 France19.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.7%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 114

06/17/2026, 06:05 PM EDT

06/17/2026, 06:05 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 22 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 22 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina19.5%
2🇫🇷 France19.3%
3🇪🇸 Spain15.1%
本版最大波动
🏴England
+2.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 115

06/17/2026, 03:05 PM EDT

06/17/2026, 03:05 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 21 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 21 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.7%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.8%
本版最大波动
🇵🇹Portugal
-2.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 116

06/17/2026, 02:14 AM EDT

06/17/2026, 02:14 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 20 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 20 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.1%
2🇫🇷 France19.4%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.8%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
-0.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 117

2026-06-17 00:00 ET

06/17/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 19 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 19 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.1%
3🇪🇸 Spain15.4%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 118

06/16/2026, 11:04 PM EDT

06/16/2026, 11:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 19 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 19 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina20.3%
2🇫🇷 France19.1%
3🇪🇸 Spain15.4%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+3.8pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 119

06/16/2026, 08:04 PM EDT

06/16/2026, 08:04 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 18 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 18 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.7%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
3🇪🇸 Spain16.0%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
-2.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 120

06/16/2026, 05:14 PM EDT

06/16/2026, 05:14 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 17 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 17 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France21.8%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
3🇪🇸 Spain15.4%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+5.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 121

2026-06-16 00:00 ET

06/16/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 16 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 16 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina17.8%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.2%
本版最大波动
🏴England
-0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 122

06/15/2026, 11:09 PM EDT

06/15/2026, 11:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 16 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 16 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina17.9%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.7%
3🇫🇷 France16.2%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
+0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 123

06/15/2026, 08:09 PM EDT

06/15/2026, 08:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 15 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 15 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina17.5%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.0%
3🇫🇷 France16.5%
本版最大波动
🇺🇾Uruguay
-0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 124

06/15/2026, 05:03 PM EDT

06/15/2026, 05:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 14 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 14 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina17.3%
2🇪🇸 Spain16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.6%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+2.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 125

06/15/2026, 02:03 PM EDT

06/15/2026, 02:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 13 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 13 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇦🇷 Argentina17.4%
2🇫🇷 France16.7%
3🇪🇸 Spain14.5%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
-5.8pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 126

2026-06-15 00:00 ET

06/15/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 12 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 12 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France15.6%
本版最大波动
🇧🇪Belgium
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 127

06/14/2026, 09:13 PM EDT

06/14/2026, 09:13 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 11 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 11 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France15.7%
本版最大波动
🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 128

06/14/2026, 06:03 PM EDT

06/14/2026, 06:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 10 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 10 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.8%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
3🇫🇷 France15.5%
本版最大波动
🇳🇱Netherlands
-0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 129

06/14/2026, 03:03 PM EDT

06/14/2026, 03:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 9 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 9 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.9%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.6%
3🇫🇷 France15.5%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
+0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 130

06/14/2026, 02:03 AM EDT

06/14/2026, 02:03 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 8 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 8 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.5%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
3🇫🇷 France15.7%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
-0.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 131

2026-06-14 00:00 ET

06/14/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 7 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 7 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.6%
3🇫🇷 France15.7%
本版最大波动
🏴England
-0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 132

06/13/2026, 11:03 PM EDT

06/13/2026, 11:03 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 7 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 7 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.5%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.6%
3🇫🇷 France15.6%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 133

06/13/2026, 08:13 PM EDT

06/13/2026, 08:13 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 6 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 6 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.5%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France15.3%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
-1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 134

06/13/2026, 05:13 PM EDT

06/13/2026, 05:13 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 5 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 5 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
3🇫🇷 France15.4%
本版最大波动
🇨🇭Switzerland
-0.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 135

2026-06-13 00:00 ET

06/13/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 4 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 4 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.2%
3🇫🇷 France15.9%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 136

06/12/2026, 11:12 PM EDT

06/12/2026, 11:12 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 4 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 4 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.2%
3🇫🇷 France15.9%
本版最大波动
🇺🇸USA
+1.5pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 137

06/12/2026, 05:02 PM EDT

06/12/2026, 05:02 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 3 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 3 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.8%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.6%
3🇫🇷 France16.0%
本版最大波动
🇦🇷Argentina
-0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 138

2026-06-12 00:00 ET

06/12/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 2 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (No FIFA squad source page changes detected.)

历史快照已纳入 2 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.1%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
-0.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 139

06/11/2026, 10:46 PM EDT

06/11/2026, 10:46 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 1 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 1 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.4%
3🇫🇷 France16.1%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+0.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 140

06/11/2026, 10:40 PM EDT

06/11/2026, 10:40 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 1 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 1 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.4%
3🇫🇷 France16.0%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 141

06/11/2026, 10:26 PM EDT

06/11/2026, 10:26 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 1 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 1 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain20.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.4%
3🇫🇷 France16.0%
本版最大波动
🇲🇽Mexico
+1.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 142

2026-06-11 00:00 ET

06/11/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.3%
2🇫🇷 France16.6%
3🇦🇷 Argentina16.4%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 143

2026-06-10 00:00 ET

06/10/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.3%
3🇫🇷 France16.3%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
+0.9pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 144

2026-06-09 00:00 ET

06/09/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.2%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.6%
3🇫🇷 France16.5%
本版最大波动
🇧🇷Brazil
+0.7pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 145

2026-06-08 00:00 ET

06/08/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.4%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
-0.1pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 146

06/07/2026, 05:11 PM EDT

06/07/2026, 05:11 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照赛果、模型或数据变化后的即时重算，用来把新局面尽快写进概率榜。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.5%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.6%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 147

06/07/2026, 05:09 PM EDT

06/07/2026, 05:09 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照赛果、模型或数据变化后的即时重算，用来把新局面尽快写进概率榜。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.5%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.6%
本版最大波动
🇩🇪Germany
+0.3pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 148

06/07/2026, 05:07 PM EDT

06/07/2026, 05:07 PM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 1 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照已纳入 1 场实际赛果，模型这次不是纯脑补。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.6%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.8%
3🇫🇷 France16.5%
本版最大波动
🇨🇭Switzerland
+0.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 149

2026-06-07 00:00 ET

06/07/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48); FIFA squads SUCCESS (FIFA squad source pages changed since the previous successful sync; review team reference squads.)

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.4%
2🇦🇷 Argentina16.7%
3🇫🇷 France16.5%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
-1.4pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 150

06/06/2026, 01:05 AM EDT

06/06/2026, 01:05 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 1,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo generated from 1,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available. Source weights: FIFA 30%, The Analyst 15%, Oddschecker 15%, existing residual 40%. FIFA SUCCESS (48); The Analyst SUCCESS (48); Oddschecker SUCCESS (48)

历史快照赛果、模型或数据变化后的即时重算，用来把新局面尽快写进概率榜。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇪🇸 Spain21.2%
2🇫🇷 France17.9%
3🇦🇷 Argentina16.5%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
+4.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 151

2026-06-06 00:00 ET

06/06/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo prototype generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available.

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.2%
2🇦🇷 Argentina17.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain17.0%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 152

2026-06-05 00:00 ET

06/05/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo prototype generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available.

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.2%
2🇦🇷 Argentina17.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain17.0%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 153

2026-06-04 00:00 ET

06/04/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo prototype generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available.

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.2%
2🇦🇷 Argentina17.2%
3🇪🇸 Spain17.0%
本版最大波动
🇪🇸Spain
-0.6pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 154

2026-06-03 00:00 ET

06/03/2026, 03:59 AM EDT · 每日 00:00 ET · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo prototype generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available.

历史快照每日例行更新，目前还没有实际赛果介入。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.6%
3🇦🇷 Argentina17.3%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
持平

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 155

06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT

06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT · 赛果联动重算 · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

Monte Carlo prototype generated from 100,000 runs. Uses 0 locked real results where available.

历史快照赛果、模型或数据变化后的即时重算，用来把新局面尽快写进概率榜。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇫🇷 France19.2%
2🇪🇸 Spain17.6%
3🇦🇷 Argentina17.3%
本版最大波动
🇫🇷France
+19.2pct

模型小纸条：这队的冠军概率动静最大，值得拎出来盯两眼。大赛还没开始时，波动多半来自模型或数据版本更新。

历史版本 156

2026-05-28 00:00 ET

05/28/2026, 12:00 AM EDT · DAILY · 100,000 次模拟
PUBLISHED

样例预测版本：使用静态球队强度和手工概率，供 V0.1.1 页面联调。

历史快照赛果、模型或数据变化后的即时重算，用来把新局面尽快写进概率榜。
夺冠热门 Top 3
1🇩🇿 Algeria0.00%
2🇦🇷 Argentina0.00%
3🇦🇺 Australia0.00%
本版最大波动
暂无可比较版本

第一版先站上记分牌，后面的版本才有涨跌故事可讲。