Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 🇦🇹AustriaAUT | J | UEFA | 2nd37.4% | 13.5% | 37.4% | 22.4% | 73.4% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.81% | 0.18% | ↑ 0.2 |