Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 🇧🇦Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIH | B | UEFA | 3rd17.5% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 38.5% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ↑ 0.0 |