Who will win the 2026 World Cup?

Day Day World Cup tracks every team's title probability with a daily Monte Carlo model that updates as match results are locked.

What are today's World Cup match predictions?

The homepage highlights today's matches, completed results, and pre-match win/draw/loss probabilities for games still to play.

Where can I see World Cup 2026 odds by team?

The predictions page ranks all 48 teams by title odds, knockout chances, group finish probabilities, and daily movement.

How does the 2026 World Cup format work?

The tournament has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two teams in each group and the eight best third-placed teams advance to the Round of 32.

How do third-place teams qualify in World Cup 2026?

After the group stage, third-placed teams are ranked by points and tie-breakers. The eight best third-placed teams join the group winners and runners-up in the knockout stage.

Which teams can still qualify for the knockout stage?

Day Day World Cup updates standings, projected group ranks, and knockout probabilities as real results are entered or synced.

Where can I find World Cup 2026 knockout bracket predictions?

The tournament tree and prediction wall show the current projected path from group stage through the final, including predicted knockout placements.

What happens if teams are tied on points in World Cup groups?

Group ranking starts with points, then goal difference, goals scored, and further FIFA tie-breakers. The standings page reflects locked results as they arrive.

Where can I see World Cup 2026 group standings predictions?

The predictions page summarizes projected group winners, runners-up, and best third-place qualification probabilities for each group.

Which World Cup games are most likely to end in a draw today?

Each match card includes a draw probability, making it easy to compare which fixtures are most likely to finish level.

Where can I find World Cup score predictions today?

The 104-match prediction wall and match snapshot show the model's current most likely scoreline or result state for every fixture.

How do today's results affect World Cup predictions?

Locked results feed the next simulation, changing group standings, knockout paths, team title odds, and the daily prediction log.

How does the World Cup prediction model work?

The model combines official fixtures, team strength inputs, external prediction signals, market signals, locked results, and Monte Carlo tournament simulations.

Why did a team's World Cup odds change?

Odds can change after actual results, updated input signals, schedule path changes, and new Monte Carlo simulations. The prediction log records each version.

Where can I see a team's path to the World Cup final?

Each team page shows fixtures, title probability, path branches, and likely opponents by tournament stage.

Which host nation will go furthest in World Cup 2026?

Compare the United States, Mexico, and Canada on the predictions page by title odds, knockout probabilities, and projected path.

Where can I see a full World Cup 2026 match prediction wall?

Day Day World Cup provides a 104-match prediction wall and exportable 4K match snapshot for sharing.

Are World Cup predictions updated daily?

Yes. The site is designed to generate a formal daily prediction version at midnight Eastern Time and can also refresh after manual result entry.

Can I share World Cup prediction images?

Yes. The site offers team path posters and a 4K 104-match snapshot that can be opened or downloaded as shareable images.

Is Day Day World Cup free to use?

Yes. Day Day World Cup is a free World Cup prediction, schedule, standings, and match snapshot website.

Probability Board

全队概率榜

48 支球队同屏排队：谁像冠军相，谁是快乐陪跑，谁只差一场神仙球就能把模型脸打歪。概率每天 00:00 ET 更新，赛果锁定后进入下一版模拟。

104 场预测结果墙

最新模型把 104 场从小组赛比分一路填到预测冠军。淡绿色是实际赛果，黑色是模型预测，绿色队名代表席位已经确定。

实际赛果104/104

预测比赛0/104

导出 4K

小组赛72

M1 🇲🇽MEXMexicoA组2-0RSASouth AfricaA组🇿🇦实际 · MEX

M2 🇰🇷KORKorea RepublicA组2-1CZECzechiaA组🇨🇿实际 · KOR

M3 🇨🇦CANCanadaB组1-1BIHBosnia and HerzegovinaB组🇧🇦实际 · 平局

M4 🇺🇸USAUSAD组4-1PARParaguayD组🇵🇾实际 · USA

M5 🇭🇹HAIHaitiC组0-1SCOScotlandC组🏴实际 · SCO

M6 🇦🇺AUSAustraliaD组2-0TURTürkiyeD组🇹🇷实际 · AUS

M7 🇧🇷BRABrazilC组1-1MARMoroccoC组🇲🇦实际 · 平局

M8 🇶🇦QATQatarB组1-1SUISwitzerlandB组🇨🇭实际 · 平局

M9 🇨🇮CIVCôte d'IvoireE组1-0ECUEcuadorE组🇪🇨实际 · CIV

M10 🇩🇪GERGermanyE组7-1CUWCuraçaoE组🇨🇼实际 · GER

M11 🇳🇱NEDNetherlandsF组2-2JPNJapanF组🇯🇵实际 · 平局

M12 🇸🇪SWESwedenF组5-1TUNTunisiaF组🇹🇳实际 · SWE

M13 🇸🇦KSASaudi ArabiaH组1-1URUUruguayH组🇺🇾实际 · 平局

M14 🇪🇸ESPSpainH组0-0CPVCabo VerdeH组🇨🇻实际 · 平局

M15 🇮🇷IRNIR IranG组2-2NZLNew ZealandG组🇳🇿实际 · 平局

M16 🇧🇪BELBelgiumG组1-1EGYEgyptG组🇪🇬实际 · 平局

M17 🇫🇷FRAFranceI组3-1SENSenegalI组🇸🇳实际 · FRA

M18 🇮🇶IRQIraqI组1-4NORNorwayI组🇳🇴实际 · NOR

M19 🇦🇷ARGArgentinaJ组3-0ALGAlgeriaJ组🇩🇿实际 · ARG

M20 🇦🇹AUTAustriaJ组3-1JORJordanJ组🇯🇴实际 · AUT

M21 🇬🇭GHAGhanaL组1-0PANPanamaL组🇵🇦实际 · GHA

M22 🏴ENGEnglandL组4-2CROCroatiaL组🇭🇷实际 · ENG

M23 🇵🇹PORPortugalK组1-1CODCongo DRK组🇨🇩实际 · 平局

M24 🇺🇿UZBUzbekistanK组1-3COLColombiaK组🇨🇴实际 · COL

M25 🇨🇿CZECzechiaA组1-1RSASouth AfricaA组🇿🇦实际 · 平局

M26 🇨🇭SUISwitzerlandB组4-1BIHBosnia and HerzegovinaB组🇧🇦实际 · SUI

M27 🇨🇦CANCanadaB组6-0QATQatarB组🇶🇦实际 · CAN

M28 🇲🇽MEXMexicoA组1-0KORKorea RepublicA组🇰🇷实际 · MEX

M29 🇧🇷BRABrazilC组3-0HAIHaitiC组🇭🇹实际 · BRA

M30 🏴SCOScotlandC组0-1MARMoroccoC组🇲🇦实际 · MAR

M31 🇹🇷TURTürkiyeD组0-1PARParaguayD组🇵🇾实际 · PAR

M32 🇺🇸USAUSAD组2-0AUSAustraliaD组🇦🇺实际 · USA

M33 🇩🇪GERGermanyE组2-1CIVCôte d'IvoireE组🇨🇮实际 · GER

M34 🇪🇨ECUEcuadorE组0-0CUWCuraçaoE组🇨🇼实际 · 平局

M35 🇳🇱NEDNetherlandsF组5-1SWESwedenF组🇸🇪实际 · NED

M36 🇹🇳TUNTunisiaF组0-4JPNJapanF组🇯🇵实际 · JPN

M37 🇺🇾URUUruguayH组2-2CPVCabo VerdeH组🇨🇻实际 · 平局

M38 🇪🇸ESPSpainH组4-0KSASaudi ArabiaH组🇸🇦实际 · ESP

M39 🇧🇪BELBelgiumG组0-0IRNIR IranG组🇮🇷实际 · 平局

M40 🇳🇿NZLNew ZealandG组1-3EGYEgyptG组🇪🇬实际 · EGY

M41 🇳🇴NORNorwayI组3-2SENSenegalI组🇸🇳实际 · NOR

M42 🇫🇷FRAFranceI组3-0IRQIraqI组🇮🇶实际 · FRA

M43 🇦🇷ARGArgentinaJ组2-0AUTAustriaJ组🇦🇹实际 · ARG

M44 🇯🇴JORJordanJ组1-2ALGAlgeriaJ组🇩🇿实际 · ALG

M45 🏴ENGEnglandL组0-0GHAGhanaL组🇬🇭实际 · 平局

M46 🇵🇦PANPanamaL组0-1CROCroatiaL组🇭🇷实际 · CRO

M47 🇵🇹PORPortugalK组5-0UZBUzbekistanK组🇺🇿实际 · POR

M48 🇨🇴COLColombiaK组1-0CODCongo DRK组🇨🇩实际 · COL

M49 🏴SCOScotlandC组0-3BRABrazilC组🇧🇷实际 · BRA

M50 🇲🇦MARMoroccoC组4-2HAIHaitiC组🇭🇹实际 · MAR

M51 🇨🇭SUISwitzerlandB组2-1CANCanadaB组🇨🇦实际 · SUI

M52 🇧🇦BIHBosnia and HerzegovinaB组3-1QATQatarB组🇶🇦实际 · BIH

M53 🇨🇿CZECzechiaA组0-3MEXMexicoA组🇲🇽实际 · MEX

M54 🇿🇦RSASouth AfricaA组1-0KORKorea RepublicA组🇰🇷实际 · RSA

M55 🇨🇼CUWCuraçaoE组0-2CIVCôte d'IvoireE组🇨🇮实际 · CIV

M56 🇪🇨ECUEcuadorE组2-1GERGermanyE组🇩🇪实际 · ECU

M57 🇯🇵JPNJapanF组1-1SWESwedenF组🇸🇪实际 · 平局

M58 🇹🇳TUNTunisiaF组1-3NEDNetherlandsF组🇳🇱实际 · NED

M59 🇹🇷TURTürkiyeD组3-2USAUSAD组🇺🇸实际 · TUR

M60 🇵🇾PARParaguayD组0-0AUSAustraliaD组🇦🇺实际 · 平局

M61 🇳🇴NORNorwayI组1-4FRAFranceI组🇫🇷实际 · FRA

M62 🇸🇳SENSenegalI组5-0IRQIraqI组🇮🇶实际 · SEN

M63 🇪🇬EGYEgyptG组1-1IRNIR IranG组🇮🇷实际 · 平局

M64 🇳🇿NZLNew ZealandG组1-5BELBelgiumG组🇧🇪实际 · BEL

M65 🇨🇻CPVCabo VerdeH组0-0KSASaudi ArabiaH组🇸🇦实际 · 平局

M66 🇺🇾URUUruguayH组0-1ESPSpainH组🇪🇸实际 · ESP

M67 🇵🇦PANPanamaL组0-2ENGEnglandL组🏴实际 · ENG

M68 🇭🇷CROCroatiaL组2-1GHAGhanaL组🇬🇭实际 · CRO

M69 🇩🇿ALGAlgeriaJ组3-3AUTAustriaJ组🇦🇹实际 · 平局

M70 🇯🇴JORJordanJ组1-3ARGArgentinaJ组🇦🇷实际 · ARG

M71 🇨🇴COLColombiaK组0-0PORPortugalK组🇵🇹实际 · 平局

M72 🇨🇩CODCongo DRK组3-1UZBUzbekistanK组🇺🇿实际 · COD

淘汰赛路径32

32 强

M7406/29 16:30

🇩🇪GERE组第11 🇵🇾PARA/B/C/D/F组第三1

实际 · PAR晋级

M7706/30 17:00

🇫🇷FRAI组第13 🇸🇪SWEC/D/F/G/H组第三0

实际 · FRA晋级

M7306/28 15:00

🇿🇦RSAA组第20 🇨🇦CANB组第21

实际 · CAN晋级

M7506/29 21:00

🇳🇱NEDF组第11 🇲🇦MARC组第21

实际 · MAR晋级

M8307/02 19:00

🇵🇹PORK组第22 🇭🇷CROL组第21

实际 · POR晋级

M8407/02 15:00

🇪🇸ESPH组第13 🇦🇹AUTJ组第20

实际 · ESP晋级

M8107/01 20:00

🇺🇸USAD组第12 🇧🇦BIHB/E/F/I/J组第三0

实际 · USA晋级

M8207/01 16:00

🇧🇪BELG组第13 🇸🇳SENA/E/H/I/J组第三2

实际 · BEL晋级

16 强

M8907/04 17:00

🇵🇾PAR74场胜者0 🇫🇷FRA77场胜者1

实际 · FRA晋级

M9007/04 13:00

🇨🇦CAN73场胜者0 🇲🇦MAR75场胜者3

实际 · MAR晋级

M9307/06 15:00

🇵🇹POR83场胜者0 🇪🇸ESP84场胜者1

实际 · ESP晋级

M9407/06 20:00

🇺🇸USA81场胜者1 🇧🇪BEL82场胜者4

实际 · BEL晋级

1/4 决赛

M9707/09 16:00

🇫🇷FRA89场胜者2 🇲🇦MAR90场胜者0

实际 · FRA晋级

M9807/10 15:00

🇪🇸ESP93场胜者2 🇧🇪BEL94场胜者1

实际 · ESP晋级

半决赛

M10107/14 15:00

🇫🇷FRA97场胜者0 🇪🇸ESP98场胜者2

实际 · ESP晋级

决赛 / 三四名

M10407/19 15:00

🇪🇸ESP101场胜者1 🇦🇷ARG102场胜者0

实际 · ESP晋级

M10307/18 17:00

🇫🇷FRA101场负者4 🏴ENG102场负者6

实际 · ENG晋级

半决赛

M10207/15 15:00

🏴ENG99场胜者1 🇦🇷ARG100场胜者2

实际 · ARG晋级

1/4 决赛

M9907/11 17:00

🇳🇴NOR91场胜者1 🏴ENG92场胜者2

实际 · ENG晋级

M10007/11 21:00

🇦🇷ARG95场胜者3 🇨🇭SUI96场胜者1

实际 · ARG晋级

16 强

M9107/05 16:00

🇧🇷BRA76场胜者1 🇳🇴NOR78场胜者2

实际 · NOR晋级

M9207/05 20:00

🇲🇽MEX79场胜者2 🏴ENG80场胜者3

实际 · ENG晋级

M9507/07 12:00

🇦🇷ARG86场胜者3 🇪🇬EGY88场胜者2

实际 · ARG晋级

M9607/07 16:00

🇨🇭SUI85场胜者0 🇨🇴COL87场胜者0

实际 · SUI晋级

32 强

M7606/29 13:00

🇧🇷BRAC组第12 🇯🇵JPNF组第21

实际 · BRA晋级

M7806/30 13:00

🇨🇮CIVE组第21 🇳🇴NORI组第22

实际 · NOR晋级

M7906/30 21:00

🇲🇽MEXA组第12 🇪🇨ECUC/E/F/H/I组第三0

实际 · MEX晋级

M8007/01 12:00

🏴ENGL组第12 🇨🇩CODE/H/I/J/K组第三1

实际 · ENG晋级

M8607/03 18:00

🇦🇷ARGJ组第13 🇨🇻CPVH组第22

实际 · ARG晋级

M8807/03 14:00

🇦🇺AUSD组第21 🇪🇬EGYG组第21

实际 · EGY晋级

M8507/02 23:00

🇨🇭SUIB组第12 🇩🇿ALGE/F/G/I/J组第三0

实际 · SUI晋级

M8707/03 21:30

🇨🇴COLK组第11 🇬🇭GHAD/E/I/J/L组第三0

实际 · COL晋级

预测

小组排名预测

按最新版模拟里的小组第一、第二、第三出线概率，汇总出每个小组的预测座次。

A组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇲🇽Mexico	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇿🇦South Africa	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇨🇿Czechia	0.00%	0.00%	4.00
4	🇰🇷Korea Republic	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

B组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇨🇭Switzerland	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇨🇦Canada	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇶🇦Qatar	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

C组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇧🇷Brazil	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇲🇦Morocco	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇭🇹Haiti	0.00%	0.00%	4.00
4	🏴Scotland	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

D组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇺🇸USA	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇦🇺Australia	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇵🇾Paraguay	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇹🇷Türkiye	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

E组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇩🇪Germany	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇪🇨Ecuador	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇨🇼Curaçao	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

F组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇳🇱Netherlands	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇯🇵Japan	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇸🇪Sweden	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇹🇳Tunisia	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

G组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇧🇪Belgium	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇪🇬Egypt	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇮🇷IR Iran	0.00%	0.00%	4.00
4	🇳🇿New Zealand	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

H组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇪🇸Spain	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇨🇻Cabo Verde	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇸🇦Saudi Arabia	0.00%	0.00%	4.00
4	🇺🇾Uruguay	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

I组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇫🇷France	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇳🇴Norway	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇸🇳Senegal	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇮🇶Iraq	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

J组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇦🇷Argentina	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇦🇹Austria	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇩🇿Algeria	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇯🇴Jordan	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

K组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🇨🇴Colombia	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇵🇹Portugal	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇨🇩Congo DR	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇺🇿Uzbekistan	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

L组

#	球队	前二	第三出线	期望
1	🏴England	100.0%	0.00%	1.00
2	🇭🇷Croatia	100.0%	0.00%	2.00
3	🇬🇭Ghana	0.00%	100.0%	3.00
4	🇵🇦Panama	0.00%	0.00%	4.00

Best Thirds

最佳第三名预测

最可能通过第三名路径晋级的球队队列。前 8 名就是当前模型里的补票区。

1🇩🇿AlgeriaJ组100.0%2🇧🇦Bosnia and HerzegovinaB组100.0%3🇨🇩Congo DRK组100.0%4🇪🇨EcuadorE组100.0%5🇬🇭GhanaL组100.0%6🇵🇾ParaguayD组100.0%7🇸🇳SenegalI组100.0%8🇸🇪SwedenF组100.0%

All Teams

筛选后的概率榜

按夺冠概率排序。横条是冠军概率，不是膨胀的信心；它越长，说明模型越愿意把锅先背给这队。

#	球队	组	洲际	主路线	第1	第2	第3	进32	进16	进8	进4	决赛	夺冠	变化
9	🇨🇦CanadaCAN	B	CONCACAF	第2100.0%	0.00%	100.0%	0.00%	100.0%	100.0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	→