Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 🏴EnglandENG | L | UEFA | 1st57.9% | 57.9% | 29.1% | 8.5% | 95.6% | 73.5% | 51.7% | 33.8% | 19.8% | 10.7% | ↑ 10.7 |