Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇫🇷FranceFRA | I | UEFA | 1st68.1% | 68.1% | 22.6% | 6.1% | 96.8% | 80.8% | 62.6% | 46.0% | 29.9% | 19.2% | ↑ 19.2 |