Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 🇩🇪GermanyGER | E | UEFA | 1st57.4% | 57.4% | 26.8% | 10.5% | 94.8% | 65.3% | 30.1% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | ↑ 2.7 |
| 27 | 🇩🇿AlgeriaALG | J | CAF | 2nd32.4% | 11.0% | 32.4% | 23.8% | 67.1% | 20.9% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.51% | 0.10% | ↑ 0.1 |