Probability Board

All-Team Odds

All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.

Latest version
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Current favorite
Simulation runs
100,000
Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Title odds below 1%
33
Teams with movement
46
Pre-match probabilities
72
Reset
1 / 48 teams

All Teams

Filtered odds board

Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.

#TeamGroupConfederationMain path1st2nd3rdR32R16QFSFFinalChampionChange
7🇲🇦MoroccoMARCCAF
1st44.6%
44.6%37.7%11.2%93.5%58.2%38.1%19.7%9.4%
4.1%
↑ 4.1