Probability Board

All-Team Odds

All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.

Latest version
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Current favorite
Simulation runs
100,000
Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Title odds below 1%
33
Teams with movement
46
Pre-match probabilities
72
Reset
1 / 48 teams

All Teams

Filtered odds board

Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.

#TeamGroupConfederationMain path1st2nd3rdR32R16QFSFFinalChampionChange
40🇿🇦South AfricaRSAACAF
3rd17.6%
6.4%14.8%17.6%38.8%11.2%1.9%0.31%0.05%
0.01%
↑ 0.0